FAO GIEWS Country Brief on Chad –

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT Uncertain production prospects for 2026 cereal crops Cereal output in 2025 estimated at above‑average level Prices of coarse grains below year‑earlier levels About 3.18 million people estimated to face severe acute food insecurity during 2026 lean season Uncertain production prospects for 2026 cereal crops Planting of the 2026 coarse grain and rice crops was completed in August. The May‑September rainy season had an erratic start in several producing areas. Severe rainfall deficits in parts of the Sudanian zone in May and delays of up to one month in the onset of seasonal rains in some parts of the Sahelian zone disrupted planting operations and hampered crop germination. Although rainfall conditions generally improved in June, recurrent dry spells were reported across the country between July and mid‑August, and cumulative precipitation amounts remained below the average in several producing areas. As of mid‑August, satellite‑based data indicate poor vegetation conditions in Logone Occidental, Logone Oriental, Mandoul, Moyen‑Chari, Lac, Batha, Wadi Fira and Ouaddaï provinces, raising concerns over crop development and yield prospects. Near‑ to above‑average rainfall amounts forecast for September and October could support a partial recovery of late‑planted crops and improve vegetation conditions. However, the extent of any improvement will depend on the spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall through the remainder of the cropping season. Increased precipitation amounts could also heighten the risk of localized flooding and related crop losses in vulnerable areas. Production prospects therefore remain subject to considerable uncertainty, particularly in areas affected by delayed planting, recurrent dry spells and poor vegetation conditions. High domestic fuel prices continue to increase agricultural transport and production costs. In addition, the limited availability of and access to fertilizers may have resulted in reduced application